Nice early winner today for my clients as they cashed in on the Crimson Tide getting 10.5 at Rupp Arena today. Kentucky is bitte still struggling against the number as they 1-15 ATS in their last 16 games.
I have been concerned about the Wildcats longterm prospects this season. They are very young and have been barely getting by in numerous ballgames (note close wins against pathetic Tennessee and Auburn). But, I was impressed today. Alabama is a very good basketball team despite looking lethargic the last couple of games. The teams has talent (NBA talent), and with Anthony Grant’s aggressive coaching style has the ability of a deep run in March.
Alabama was simply undervalued today. Two straight losses with one embarrassing at home against Vandy caused bettors to oversell the Tide. Despite it’s horrendous ATS number this season, Kentucky is still a popular bet with the public. The Cats were actually #1 team bet on in Las Vegas today. Alabama had a lot to prove especially after the last two losses. Anthony Grant is also bitter about not making last season NCAA’s tourney. Grant is determined that Alabama make it this season and will do whatever it takes to accomplish it. For this reason alone, Bama will always be a good bet coming off a bad showing. Grant is not going to allow this team to mail it in.
But, back to Kentucky. The reasons I just mentioned was a reason I thought Kentucky could be primed for a home upset today. Bama is a veteran team and had tons to prove today. But Kentucky young Cats stood up to the test. They battled and fought. These are the kind of games this team needs to continue to mature for March. Kentucky passed with flying colors in my view. I would watch for a better maturing teams as we go forward. And guess what, they might finally make the public some money back down the stretch.
